We’ve collected the “See It Like Jones Would” posts on a single page. We will add new Jones essays to the page periodically. In the meantime, they’re always worth another read!
Red teaming and risk analysis intuitively seem like natural complements, but it’s not always clear how they relate. I’ve attached here a single slide from a capabilities briefing I built for my day job. In it I suggest one way to link the two disciplines explicitly. The gist of the message is that red teaming can enhance each element of the triplet definition of risk.
Red Teaming North Korea
April 12, 2013The actions of Kim Jong-un and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) have surprised and frustrated analysts and national security thinkers’ best guesses over the past weeks. In life, there are adversaries and competitors who are unpredictable, and act contrary to your best assessment of their predicted behaviors. The difficulty of determining the strategy [...]