Axis 2001 Redux

by Mark Mateski on May 27, 2009

In 1999, I posited a future—the Axis 2001 scenario—in which a set of loosely coordinated adversaries sought to exploit America’s misfortune. Although some of the scenario’s events differ from the current setting, the challenge of an economically weakened, overstretched United States now exists, and—much like the scenario—our adversaries seem eager to exploit the opportunities this offers.
      When I first posted the scenario, I asked RTJ readers to suggest strategies to deal with the challenge. I ask again today: How can an economically weakened and arguably overstretched United States best counter multiple adversaries? If you’ve got an idea or strategy, post a comment.

{ 4 comments }

1

The Ghost Train 05.28.09 at 10:34 am

Multiply the difficulty of our challenge by 10 when runaway inflation hits our economy, and it will. I’m having a hard time coming up with any winning strategies in that scenario.

2

John 05.28.09 at 7:22 pm

Always forgive your enemies; nothing annoys them so much.
— Oscar WildeWhat if we did that to the North Koreans…engage in a little mind play…at least it would be fun for us. It couldn’t be any less productive than what the Clinton and Bush administrations accomplished in their lengthy efforts.

3

DR Chris Flaherty 05.30.09 at 8:03 am

The issues described in Axis 2001 Redux characterise a strategic situation called ‘multi-polar’ erratic behaviour, where several entities simultaneously interact with the same state adversary on a range of strategic facets (affecting various state interests or assets). The problem is that this behaviour is so erratic that a regular security approach cannot – using conventional target theory – effectively orient and decide to act. The only option is for the state itself to adopt some form of dynamic or randomised pattern of defence/offence which could effectively minimise the tactical advantage.

4

Adam Elkus 06.01.09 at 6:40 pm

A resource that may be of interest on discussions of grand strategy:

http://www.isn.ethz.ch/isn/Digital-Library/Publications/Detail/?ots591=0C54E3B3-1E9C-BE1E-2C24-A6A8C7060233&lng=en&id=57064

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