Many barriers to good decisions exist. Sometimes the barrier’s an inherent, individual bias; sometimes it’s a group pathology; sometimes it’s the complexity of the situation or the subtlety of the opponent’s deception plan; and sometimes it’s a combination of many factors. Regardless, it appears to be relatively easy to identify the factors that lead to poor decisions. Cognitive scientists, psychologists, and intelligence analysts are all familiar with the canonical lists of these biases and factors. Less common are lists of factors that contribute to good decisions. Is it simply because we can characterize these latter factors as simply the lack of the former, or is there something more that contributes to success? If so, what are the factors that characterize successful decisions? Similarly, what factors characterize successful red teaming?
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