Catch the recent “Politics, Power, and Preventative Action” podcast interview with RTJ founder Mark Mateski.

‘Seven-Place Accuracy with Bum Data’

At times during this election season I felt as if I were living in a house of mirrors. With leaks, allegations, and counter-allegations sprouting like weeds, I wondered how, as a citizen, I could discern anything close to the truth. As red teamers, we often face a similar dilemma. Sometimes we just don’t know enough to draw actionable conclusions from the available information. Sometimes all the normative decision making approaches in our toolkit can’t compensate for the degree of uncertainty we face. Sometimes we’re forced to rely on our intuition—knowingly—while seeking new and better information. Sometimes we find opportunity in the ambiguity and uncertainty, but typically the very worst thing we can do is assert certainty where none can reasonably exist. As a Robert Heinlein character says in the short story “Space Jockey,” “What good is seven-place accuracy with bum data?”